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China United States of America USA Trade Trade War BRICS


Trade deficit petro dollar fiat currency trade deal.


President Donald Trump. Premier Ji Xinping. China, Washington DC.


Tariffs, steel, make america great again, protection, WTO


Yuan USD global currency reset.


Trade negotiation trade delegation.


​IELTS scam IELTS human trafficking (IELTS page 35, 43)


University of Sydney IELTS human trafficking crime racket.


Author : Dr Jyonah Jericho (Jay).     jay@journalistethics.com


 

China in the 21 st Century


This book is about the political and economic rise of the People’s Republic of China. This conspicuous elevation has sustained a continuous momentum in recent decades. It is generally accepted by informed, independent geo-political analysts that the Western bloc of nations has lost power in relative terms over this period. 


This book is relevant to the current context of trade negotiations between America and China.


This book creates an original template to anlayze the trajectory of the Chinese Civilization during the 21st Century - a framework that I title RED PANDA. 



Global open editorial article to support the book launch



Dragon fly or dragon cry?


Download article here

 

It is unlikely that China will realize its short- and long-term arch ambitions. It will not win a trade war against America. It may sneak a draw with luck. A tie against the Bankruptcy Chess Grandmaster is a victory for any vulture.

 

China will not realize political, economic or military hegemony during the 21st Century. I explore these viewpoints in my open-access book published this week titled: ‘Red Panda Fate? – Why China Cannot Dominate the 28th Century’.

 

This text’s thesis centers around three metaphors: red hues, pandas and number 8. Few things in China’s collective consciousness are more sacred than this color, mammal and numeral. I’m hoping that China will take note. Avoidance of a mutually assured destructive (MAD) trade war, armed conflict and economic collapse are at stake.

RED PANDA is an acronym for: Relations, Environment, Debt, Political economy, Averageness, Nepotism, Demographics and Artificiality. These are the core challenges that undermine the realization of national excellence in one of the mightiest nation-states.

 

China’s relations with other states center on business mechanics. Period. China has no loyal lovers at the regional or global superpower level. India’s refusal to sign the modern-day Silk Road Charter is part symptom of her inability to forgive and forget the Sino-Indian War and unresolved border disputes. Russia has no plans to surrender her influence over central Asian ‘Stan’ nations to Beijing’s ‘One Belt, One Road Initiative’. Emphasis on the hegemonic word ‘one’. The phony BRICS pact is fragile.

 

Environmental destruction and pollution in China’s largest cities are pervasive. Most Chinese residents who realize upward social mobility do so with a soot-soaked smog mask attached to their beaks. Such is the quality of life in urban centers such as Beijing and Shanghai.

 

Household, corporate and national debt are probably reaching unsustainable levels in China – as measurable by exponentially rising default levels. Like most things in the land of the Panda Bear, it is difficult to obtain credible official numbers. Economic statistics in China are state-managed, or should I say, state-massaged. Embarrassing data are airbrushed to save face and dupe investors.

 

China’s centrally planned Marxist political economy faces two choices: radical reform or self-destruction. Beijing’s desire to construct a hybrid capitalist-centrally planned socialist economy on her own terms is a paradox. Capitalism and Marxism are mutually exclusive. Social and economic problems in China are traceable to its secretive, brutal, corrupt mono-party structure.

 

China’s Champ of Cheap averageness are products of the brainwashing policies of China’s crony class. Intellectual property theft is a national sport. Schools promote rote learning over critical-thinking to appease the insecurities of its ruling cartel. It is easier to suppress a brainwashed populace than a free-willed nation that has been groomed to play fair and strive for meritocratic excellence.

 

Nepotism is the norm in China. Major infrastructure projects are only approved if they consolidate the power of elites. Tech giants such as Google and Apple must decide if they can trust the rubber stamp kangaroo courts of an authoritarian regime. Under Trump’s America-first MAGA mantra, these tech giants no longer have the best of both worlds. They cannot prostitute America’s intelligence agencies as protector to secure slave labor contracts and offshore tax breaks at Uncle Sam’s expense.

 

China’s demographic models show that by circa 2050 it may have one tax paying, working age adult for each non-working citizen. This trajectory is explained by China’s One Child Policy from 1979 to 2013. Beijing cannot assume that dual national expatriates in the West will dash home in droves to nanny their nation and remedy its brain drain. A legitimate body of research reports that Chinese expatriates prefer their newfound freedoms. Freedom always triumphs in the end – liberty is the real-deal.

 

The artificiality of China’s goods and services production permeates its society. From fake fiver Luis Vuitton purses sold at street stalls to propaganda press published by Beijing’s state-owned news agency. Much of Chief China’s narrative is as illusionary as David Copperfield walking through China’s Great Wall.

 

My book dares this dynastic Dragon to guide us into a golden age. This text’s context section celebrates China’s unparalleled achievements of epochs past and present. It does so without caveats. It is a cheat sheet checklist for Sino sovereigns who strive to outclass the West’s failed attempts at stewardship.

 

Cheat sheets are King, and casinos are Queen in the state of yellow stars. And Xi Jinping doesn’t hold the Trump card.

 

 

 The      ree  School